Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000637 0.000732 0.000832 0.000945 0.001071 0.001205 0.001359
2025-04-27 0.000495 0.000625 0.000774 0.000955 0.001168 0.001407 0.001697
2025-05-04 0.000409 0.000553 0.000726 0.000945 0.001213 0.001526 0.001917
2025-05-11 0.000341 0.000491 0.000679 0.000927 0.001241 0.001619 0.002104
2025-05-18 0.000301 0.000458 0.000662 0.000940 0.001301 0.001749 0.002335
2025-05-25 0.000264 0.000424 0.000639 0.000942 0.001346 0.001856 0.002539
2025-06-01 0.000224 0.000379 0.000597 0.000913 0.001345 0.001905 0.002667
2025-06-08 0.000190 0.000341 0.000559 0.000885 0.001344 0.001949 0.002787
2025-06-15 0.000169 0.000317 0.000541 0.000883 0.001374 0.002034 0.002962
2025-06-22 0.000150 0.000297 0.000524 0.000881 0.001404 0.002117 0.003135
2025-06-29 0.000132 0.000274 0.000502 0.000869 0.001418 0.002179 0.003281
2025-07-06 0.000115 0.000252 0.000478 0.000852 0.001423 0.002228 0.003407
2025-07-13 0.000107 0.000244 0.000478 0.000872 0.001484 0.002357 0.003649
2025-07-20 0.000098 0.000234 0.000473 0.000885 0.001534 0.002472 0.003875
2025-07-27 0.000086 0.000218 0.000455 0.000875 0.001548 0.002534 0.004027
2025-08-03 0.000075 0.000200 0.000434 0.000858 0.001550 0.002579 0.004155
2025-08-10 0.000069 0.000193 0.000431 0.000869 0.001597 0.002691 0.004381
2025-08-17 0.000062 0.000183 0.000422 0.000871 0.001629 0.002779 0.004573
2025-08-24 0.000053 0.000166 0.000397 0.000844 0.001611 0.002793 0.004656
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000150 0.000375 0.000819 0.001595 0.002807 0.004739
2025-09-07 0.000040 0.000142 0.000365 0.000816 0.001616 0.002880 0.004910
2025-09-14 0.000036 0.000134 0.000356 0.000814 0.001638 0.002953 0.005084
2025-09-21 0.000032 0.000125 0.000343 0.000803 0.001644 0.003001 0.005219